mardi 1 décembre 2020

Portfolio review, december 1st

Here we are, december 1st, 2020. Christmas songs all over on the radio. Like "Do They Know It's Christmas Time" and "Last Christmas" and "Happy Xmas". By the way, it's gonna be 40 years since John Lennon got shot in New-York. What were you doing at the time? Me, I was probably taking a shit in a diaper, being one year and a half at that time.

Before entering into the subject of the present post, I want to adress a specific topic which I'm thinking about when I read some of my ancient posts.

As you probably know, my first language is french. I don't use any english daily, because I live in the suburb of Quebec City which is a place where very few people live in English. So, the english I write is not that natural for me. I don't speak a superb english but I'm probably better in english than 99% of english canadians are in french. 

That fucking english language is surely easier than french, but Guillaume de Normandie hasn't done a perfect assimilation in 1066 when he invaded England. So, while many of your words come from french, you have strange habits like putting capital letters in song titles like "Do They Know It's Christmas Time". In french, we put capital letters only on few words like first and last name and country names. Also, we don't use the verb "have" for everything like you do. It looks like you're all a fucking bunch of illiterate because that verb can be used for everything. Like "I'll have breakfast", "Thank you for having us", "Have a nice weekend". What the fuck? How come don't you make it a little more complicated? And why does your age comes with the verb "be" and not the verb "have"? In french, you say "J'ai 41 ans", you don't say "Je suis 41". And why do you put adjectives or colors before the noun? Like "A green shirt" while in french we put the adjective or the color after the noun. Yes, we say "A shirt green" as stupid as it may look for you, badly assimilated culture. How do your fucking brain works? It amazes me because many of you seem intelligent while using such strange fucking sentence structure. 

Anyway, here's my almost traditional quarterly portfolio review:

Number of stocks: 24

Average ROE of the portfolio: 42

Average forward PE of the portfolio: 30

Average Beta of the portfolio: 1

Performance YTD: 17% (including dividends)

Performance of the S&P-TSX YTD: 1% (excluding dividends)

Performance of the S&P YTD: 13% (excluding dividends)


I probably beat the S&P by 2% if we assume a 2% dividend for the market. It's not bad, but not a glorious victory. And I wonder how my very average beta coefficient has risen to 1. A lot of stocks I own have seen a strange increase of their Beta coefficient. You probably don't care about that. 

A question for those investing only in canadian equities: Why the fuck are you investing only in Canada? Have you seen the performance of TSX vs the performance of the S&P on a long time frame?

You don't invest in the USA because you're afraid of the conversion rate? Yes? Then fuck you. Stick with your fucking oil company and their fucking dividends that are the only fucking thing on earth that gives you a boner. 

17 commentaires:

  1. As of tonight I'm up almost 15% on the year (in March or April I think I was down around 20 to 25%). It's been a wild ride for me this year.

    I hold 15 stocks, all Canadian except for ADI (Analog Devices) which trades on the NYSE...Things just turned out that way for me. If I was to start over today I definitely would hold more American stocks (more choice). of the 15 stocks I own I consider 9 of them to be core holdings (heavy weighting).

    Since I invest for the long-term, I ignore beta as I view volatility to be more like noise than actual risk...I run a concentrated unbalanced portfolio. I use to own many more stocks but I decided to cut down on the number of positions I had so I could become more familiar with the companies I owned. But that's just me I guess.

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  2. Thank you for sharing. You have both done extremely well. Congratulations!!!
    Here are my results as of 2020/11/30 [note that RBC DI does not yet have November performance].
    - - - - - - - - - - -
    PERFORMANCE:
    Jan-Oct 2020
    Mine: _ _ _ _ _ -10.69%
    TSX: _ _ _ _ _ -6.11%
    Cumulative since inception
    Mine: _ _ _ _ _ 2.23%
    TSX: _ _ _ _ _ 20.44 %
    - - - - - - - - - - -
    METRICS:
    TTM PE: _ _ _ _ _ 25.51
    TTM ROE: _ _ _ _ _ 7.39%
    - - - - - - - - - - -
    HOLDINGS:
    CASH CAD _ _ _ _ _ 5.67%
    TSE:HCG _ _ _ _ _ 10.46%
    TSE:EQB _ _ _ _ _ 10.34%
    TSE:CSU _ _ _ _ _ 9.18%
    CVE:CTZ _ _ _ _ _ 6.52%
    TSE:ENGH _ _ _ _ _ 5.51%
    TSE:MTY _ _ _ _ _ 5.31%
    TSE:DOL _ _ _ _ _ 4.96%
    TSE:ECN _ _ _ _ _ 4.51%
    TSE:CCL.B _ _ _ _ _ 4.50%
    TSE:LNR _ _ _ _ _ 4.36%
    CVE:PVF.UN _ _ _ _ 4.28%
    TSE:ATD.B _ _ _ _ _ 3.62%
    TSE:LAS.A _ _ _ _ _ 3.58%
    TSE:GIB.A _ _ _ _ _ 3.54%
    TSE:NFI _ _ _ _ _ 2.42%
    TSE:CNR _ _ _ _ _ 2.31%
    TSE:SJ _ _ _ _ _ 2.31%
    TSE:WPK _ _ _ _ _ 1.93%
    TSE:BAM.A _ _ _ _ _ 1.34%
    TSE:RCH _ _ _ _ _ 1.12%
    TSE:ALA _ _ _ _ _ 0.61%
    TSE:BHC _ _ _ _ _ 0.49%
    TSE:CMG _ _ _ _ _ 0.48%
    TSE:CEU _ _ _ _ _ 0.28%
    MUTF_CA:RBF1018 _ _ 0.19%
    TSE:BDI _ _ _ _ _ 0.17%
    TSE:BBU.UN _ _ _ _ 0.02%
    TSE:CPH _ _ _ _ _ 0.01%
    - - - - - - - - - - -
    Have a wonderful day everyone and best of luck!
    Hopefully, we will get a Santa Clause rally this year.

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    Réponses
    1. how you still manage your money with this kind of yield : 2.23% since inception ?

      Supprimer
    2. A lot of bad businesses and bad managers who have destroyed a lot of capital in this list.

      Supprimer
    3. Thank you for the feedback.

      Jan-Nov numbers are 1.51% and cumulative 16.20% (still -59% in RRSP cumulative though... but that is up from -68% earlier this year).

      If you had to hold top 3-5 Canadian stocks in a buy and hold portfolio, what would you buy?

      Supprimer
    4. In order:

      Boyd group
      Constellation software
      Couche-Tard
      Enghouse system
      CN or CP, only if traded at a good discounted price

      Supprimer
    5. 1. CP rail 2. CN Rail 3. Fortis

      Supprimer
    6. Aritzia
      AcuityAds
      North West Company
      CN Rail

      Supprimer
    7. CN Rail
      Docebo Inc.
      First Service Corp.

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    8. Ce commentaire a été supprimé par l'auteur.

      Supprimer
  3. Best performing asset ytd are gold. Silver, Copper.
    Your portfolio should bring some commodity if you want beat the Sp500 by a high margin.
    I have done a performance of 62% YTD regarding my internal rate of return (IRR)
    Some multibaggers and lots of gold silver

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  4. Canadian stock markets have been probably one of the worst place to be.
    I remember buying my first index funds in 2014, VCE at $32 or so. 6 years later it is at $37... Thanks god, I sold it but it is just miserable. I don't even want to waste my time calculating CAGR of Canadian markets.

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  5. This is exactly the same portfoio I have held since 2017. I cut and paste it from the same post I made here in 2019. My portfolio up 46% YTD
    400 American Tower
    1000 Aritzia
    370 Five Below
    285 Mastercard
    320 The Trading Desk
    385 Zoetis

    Do not sell your winners.

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  6. +20.8% YTD. All USD except for CP. PYPL,NKE, SBUX, MSFT, VRSK, ANSS, FTNT, SYK, BSX, WAT, JNJ, PEP, WAT, CL, PM, MSFT, JNJ, BDX plus

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  7. Edutrader - magnificent companies. I don't know how deliberate this is, but it looks like a beautiful edit of Fundsmith, with a bit of Smithson thrown in.

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